Pivoting

After a bit of quiet, things are happening again. But I am struggling to find a way to properly put this down in writing.

With the recent moves of the current US administration it is becoming almost undeniable that they are marching towards a post post-W2 area. That is the post WW2 area is coming to an end, and we are starting a new area. Difficult to find a name for it, but post-western-hegemony area would sum it up quite nicely. It is not very catchy though. Oh well, someone will find a better name for it.

Perhaps the best way to broach this topic is to look at my reactions to Trumps presidencies: At first (in 2016) I was amazed by him and thought he wanted to reestablish the post-WW2 US dominated area. The high mark in US history imo. And I even thought that he might have the chance to pull it off.

I was misstaken.

My next reaction was predictable: disappointed that he failed, but not by much as I never believed the chances he had were very high.

Then in the run for 2024 I could not manage to become enthusiastic again. I simply expected “more of the same”. Still it was satisfying to see him beat the establishment again.

At the time I was hoping that he would end the Ukraine war. And again I was disappointed that he did not.

But even before that, about the time the Russian economy failed to collapse, I began seeing the possibility that the SMO could lead to much more than a simple defeat of the Ukraine. It could actually become a cornerstone for the final episode of western hegemony.

Just a little later, inspired by Alex Krainer, I managed to synthesize the different aspects into a more coherent view of the fight between the deep-west and Russia. I made posts about the BMP and hypothesized that Trump and Putin were in it together to overthrow the deep-west.

But there were doubts, what was the true aim of Trump?

Now with the latest developments out of the US administration, I am starting to think that I underestimated Trump the entire time. He may have been “in it” much deeper than I had thought possible.

In what? well… I am now turning to the idea that Trump is using the Ukraine conflict to harm the deep-west, the BPM. And he seems to be doing so in cahoots with Putin. Not as a vassal to Putin, but in mutual understanding and cooperation.

This would explain so many things, that it almost has to be true.

But mostly, it would explain why he did not terminate the US assistance to the Ukraine immediately. Had he done so, the Ukraine would have lost very quickly. But that would also have stopped the bleeding from the deep-west. And that was something they did not want. Neither Trump nor Putin. This could be why the US support continues (marginally so) and why Russia is not launching big-arrow offensives aimed at ending the Kiev regime. The bleed must continue.

Machiavellian?

I suppose so. But it may be the only way the US and Russia can prevent a nuclear holocaust. Because as I hinted at in a previous article, when you look at the economic side of things, just try to imagine a world that has to transition to a new economic equilibrium without western hegemony. How could such a transition ever happen peacefully if not the west had suffered a major military defeat. Even if only by proxy. Without such a defeat, the deep-west might well have opted for an all-out war, even a first-strike (nuclear) attempt just to keep its hegemony alive.

As such, the real aim of both Trump and Putin might be to create a new world order (overused, I know) without a nuclear confrontation.

If so, and if achieved, both Trump and Putin should receive not just the Nobel peace prize, but all the Nobel prizes there are, even the not-a-Nobel prize in economics!